Senin, 03 Juni 2013

Best way with Visioner for Corporates to avoid many risks and default cases of Credit Risk for their Debts on Survival Rate to be Long Life Business and have a One Big Quantum Leap Ahead

By : Edmond F. La’lang (economic and natural environment observer)

         Let me add to give another way of some new suggestion on perspectives to used of the biological and psychological ways of thinking about the case of debt of a company. Life is a game with a lot of risks in addition to benefits and advantages that can be gained from the ability, achievement, creativity, innovation and business management professionals better. Risk will always be an open market is a market in which more and more competitors, the bigger share of the market, more and more consumers to choose the product of a company and the various regulations made by the government in which the company operates. And of course the dynamics of natural law will always cause fluctuations in turmoil even to be prevented before they occur with the Early Warning System, with a swift soon to anticipate the problems and market risk and business risk.

          Supposedly the composition of corporate debt to its capital structure to keep it safe from the risks of macroeconomic volatility, fluctuations in the stock market index, foreign exchange rate, commodity market fluctuations (and complement raw materials for manufacturing and mining corporations), changes in the prime interest rate and the commercial rate to cost of funds, inflation rate (CPI and PPI), profitability, prospective business enterprise, the ability to compete and a variety of product excellence, marketing mix strategy, service, cost of manufacturing and administration and so on. Fatal error at most companies (banks, manufacturing and services) is to assume that the price level of the stock and assets and also commodity prices from a mining company can be a collateral to obtain a bank loan that has multiple leveraging is the very real risk of a variety of market risks in the form of economic turbulencies, crisis and recession.  

         Capital structure that makes sense and being cautious is the capital of 60-80% and accounts payable around 20-40%. If the ratio of debt to capital increase, the risk of default also will be bigger and should not be played with a variety of financial mathematical simulations, except by way of over-leveraging and reducing risk simply by mathematical and statistical calculations with a risk free way that it gives a sheer burden of risk debt naturally from the threat of external risks his company. For that we need a careful analysis and calculation of the various natural influences in the form of multi-variant calculations with non-linier regression as 2 – 3 dimension calculations by incorporating a variety of indicators of biological, psychological, tastes and interests of consumers (market driven and market driving) and fierce competition in its market share as well as the new products and new competitors  to make a good, reasonable, prudently and rationally of “Natural Free Risk”.     

         Companies that take a lot of debt with a smaller capital structure will experience a greater risk of default, despite having supported by a variety of sophisticated financial mathematics and risk management on various Financial Ratios according to the rules Basel I to Basel III. The risk in this case is the inability to pay the debt, because the interest rate risk of debt, particularly of a commercial character in the form of a floating interest rate. Problems currently faced by the U.S. and European countries as well as various financial and manufacturing companies are leveraging the use of exaggeration to be bubble stock price and the value of its assets without taking into account the potential risk of economic turmoil that will occur in the future, only simulations using mathematical and statistical calculations alone. Many economic crisis since the Great Depression has killed millions of companies to experience huge losses and even bankruptcy both in banking, manufacturing, services and other financial services should experience a variety of internal and external risks, due to ignorance of the natural dynamics of the process that will always occur in a system of living organisms, either individually or range of human creation in the course of business of the company's life cycle. 

         Likewise experienced by developed countries, the U.S. and Europe, as well as less appropriate in managing debt for development, also to save thousands of corporate banking, manufacturing, property and insurance back to health in the context of "Too Big to Fail" by way of bailout, stimulus Quantitative Easing and the truth is not an effective and efficient even add to the debt burden of the country itself. It is different from the way the country is almost bankrupt Iceland but was able to quickly get out of the debt crisis and economic recession, because of not wearing liberal economic thinking but a way to let the Austrian economy private companies fend for themselves as a result of a variety of their own mistakes or are natural selection to survive. So of course this ease the burden on the government budget Iceland to immediately help companies that are still strong enough without having to provide facilities that pamper company that has mismanaged the business and his own debt without providing helping for bailout and QE policy.

           So that, maybe there is another approach to really know how the risk will be come and influence your business, investment and trading activities time by time that always human can not know and realized exactly what really happen in the future. Let visit my blog to know and maybe useful for your business strategic planning for 1 - 25 years. Or like George Soros says, he walk 6 months in the front of the curve that he really know what happen in financial market and real sector long before.  

Visit some of interesting blog :

1. Opportunities and Risks in Corporate Business
By: Edmond F. La'lang (economic and environmental observers)
In terms of financial market that contained human nature in the face of risks that will arise in every activity of life is Risk Averse, people who always avoid risk and Risk Taker, people who are happy at risk and those who take care in the face of risk.
3. Comments to Caveat on investment : model risk creates liability towards extreme
By Chitro Majumdar on May 29, 2012 8:12 AM

4. Mathematic knowledge is not really know about how the Economic and Business Life Cycle Mechanism will be work in reality world

5. Bio Risk Management :  How can Corporate Strategic Planning that able to prevent or avoid the Market Risk, Business Risk and another Risks on Competition, Turbulencies, Crisis and Recession

7.  This blog purpose is to provide an insight and understanding of the importance of the role and application of Science Biology on various aspects of human activity, including Economics - Business, Green Technology, Social, Political and Environment for the Future of Human Life

Foot note :

         Fluctuations in short-term (daily and weekly) will occur naturally influenced by state of mentality, passion, taste, motivation of global mass psychology to take trading positions in a market that is crowded and often chaotic. If there is data or news that very fundamental economic conditions, business and politics, fluctuations in stock price movements will occur dynamically and both meteoric and volatile free fall in excess of the daily forecast. But in the medium and long-term investment will be influenced dynamically by biocycle and biorhytmic of legal and natural forces are always moving up and down dynamically. So you not only have to Globalization with Globalnet (internet system) but also now should have a vision in a way Galaxization with Galaxinet * * (Astronomical).

Where we can know the strains and the condition of the Universe Kingdom in the short term (10 years), medium term of 50 years and long term 100-200 years), which will also be evident in a "Certainty of Life rather than Uncertainty Life " who always complained of many parties, including the leaders of the state policy makers, leaders of business policy (industrialists and traders) as well as experts in various fields of life. The power and influence of Natural, Galaxy and Universe Law (Universe Kingdom / Source One in Central Sun Universe) this will always affect every aspect of our lives on this planet, either consciously or unconsciously to anticipate properly.


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Edmond F. La'lang
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1 komentar:

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