Selasa, 13 Maret 2012

Paradoxial Economic Analysis of Iraq War

By : Edmond F. La’lang

Actually the U.S. economy has reached its peak in 2000 in the era of Bill Clinton after the step for 8 years since 1992. At the senior Bush era has indeed been declining due to the defeat of U.S. manufacturing from Japan since 1985 in the U.S. domestic market. Clinton has reformed its economy by relying on technological innovation, efficiency and stimulus to corporate computers in Silicon Valley appear marked with many software and hardware companies, like Microsoft, Dell, Apple and began his Internet era is finally followed by the booming New Economy Dotcom (provider service providers). And then the economy begun started to increase again, and manufacturing began to rise and surpass the Japanese corporation. Since early 1980, Japan struck the U.S. corporation by acquiring a U.S. corporation known as "The Rising Sun". But in early 1994, since Japan went into recession and deflation is finally reversed his condition in which many Japanese corporations acquired by U.S. corporations, including Mitsubishi, Toshiba, etc.. until the end of the Clinton era in 2000. Actually Bush could continue greatness Clinton at least until 2003.

There are a number of events and structural conditions that increasingly burden US economy financial and real sectors is :

1) WTC Tragedy makes the U.S. economy began to collapse buildings are detrimental to hundreds of billions USD in the world of business, tourism and U.S. airlines;
2) Shocks of New Economy Dotcom crisis that erupted in 2001;
3) The scandal of Enron and Xerox in the accounting fraud;
4) Fragility of the U.S. economy by the consumption structure and credit cards often exceed the level of  income American peoples;
5) Standard of living and level of CEO salary and bonus to employees who are highlypaid compared to the salaries of Japanese employees of U.S. corporations. Thecase of the Big Three U.S. automakers GM, Ford and Chrysler, which causes them tolose USD 74 billion since 2004 and suggestions of the U.S. Senate to cut employee salaries is opposed by labor unions that caused the bailout amounted to USD 14billion jeopardized on December 13, 2008, and the case of salary and CEO of WallStreet bonuses reached $ 500 million / year;
6) Standard of living is high these cause the U.S. economy increasingly heavy burdenand CEO salaries and bonuses and high employee also become operational costs US industries more and more weight so the cost per unit of production to priceproducts more expensive and less than the Japanese products (automotive) and China (food, electronics and household appliances). For the U.S. automotive industry is supposed to terms angggota Congress from Republicans to cut employeesalaries to be equal with the salaries of employees Nissan, Honda and Toyota to make the Big Three automobile products have price competitive with Japanese auto products;
7) With a high consumption patterns of U.S. society consumerism by making use of  various credit cards that often exceed their income and always rely on profitsfrom stocks share fluctuated;
8) Model mortgage subprime mortgages policy since 1997 (the Clinton era) and the policy of the Governor of The FED, Alan Greenspan cut rates aggressively FFRTfrom 6.75% (2001) to only 1.0% (2003) to be triggered jor-rod housing loans byproperty developers as well as boomerang for the property industry and subprime derivatives are sold in stages by the time the investment banking crisis of subprime mortgages;
9) Biocycle and biorhytmic U.S. economy that is affected by the supernatural and natural forces, which were supposed to be weakened in the recession mild to moderate, but due to factors point 1-8 (especially sub-prime mortgages crisis), causing increasingly severe economic crisis which led to economic recession and deflation to the condition that is potentially more severe to the Great Depression. Thus, we should be more rational, reasonable and not emotional too blame Bush as the main cause of economic chaos as alleged by Democratic economists after we know the chronology of the causes of economic turmoil, the Iraq war only helped worsen the recession main conditions (10-15 %) , while the rest is another point (85 – 89 %).

Foot note :

         Fluctuations in short-term (daily and weekly) will occur naturally influenced by state of mentality, passion, taste, motivation of global mass psychology to take trading positions in a market that is crowded and often chaotic. If there is data or news that very fundamental economic conditions, business and politics, fluctuations in stock price movements will occur dynamically and both meteoric and volatile free fall in excess of the daily forecast. But in the medium and long-term investment will be influenced dynamically by biocycle and biorhytmic of legal and natural forces are always moving up and down dynamically. So you not only have to Globalization with Globalnet (internet system) but also now should have a vision in a way Galaxization with Galaxinet * * (Astronomical).

         Where we can know the strains and the condition of the Universe Kingdom in the short term (10 years), medium term of 50 years and long term 100-200 years), which will also be evident in a "Certainty of Life rather than Uncertainty Life " who always complained of many parties, including the leaders of the state policy makers, leaders of business policy (industrialists and traders) as well as experts in various fields of life. The power and influence of Universe Law (Universe Kingdom) this will always affect every aspect of our lives on this planet, either consciously or unconsciously to anticipate properly.

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Contact :
Edmond F. La'lang
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